Sport Picks

Ireland

Division 1 Ferrycarrig Park

Treaty United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Wexford play Treaty United in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wexford averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Treaty United averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Wexford won 1, Treaty United won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Wexford and 1.31 for Treaty United. This points to a Wexford double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Wexford

31%

Draws

32%

Treaty United

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Wexford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Wexford picked up more points recently compared to Treaty United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Wexford Clean Sheet 18%

Treaty United Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wexford	Treaty United
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	7	9
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.17	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.47
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 1

Wexford vs Treaty United

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

May 4, 2026 Division 1

Treaty United vs Wexford

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Mar 27, 2026 Division 1

Wexford vs Treaty United

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

3:2

Oct 17, 2025 Division 1

Wexford vs Treaty United

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Jun 23, 2025 Division 1

Treaty United vs Wexford

Possession: 41% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wexford Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rowe M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Treaty United Compare

Top Goalscorer Oyenuga J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Feeney B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wexford 37 / 100

Treaty United 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wexford Treaty United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wexford or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wexford attacking → ← attacking Treaty United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wexford scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Treaty United let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Wexford went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Treaty United lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 33

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46:15	54
2	Bray	23	10	7	6	46:30	37
3	UC Dublin	23	11	3	9	36:27	36
4	Longford	23	8	7	8	27:30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25:32	31
6	Wexford	23	7	7	9	27:32	28
7	Athlone	23	7	6	10	21:27	27
8	Kerry	23	6	8	9	24:29	26
9	Treaty United	23	5	8	10	22:34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20:38	22