Sport Picks
Whitby vs United of Manchester
England
NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 Turnbull Ground, Whitby 
Match Events
2'
2'
Fitzmartin J.
52'
52'
Charles J.
85'
85'
Buckley J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Whitby and United of Manchester finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward United of Manchester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: United of Manchester
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and United of Manchester come out ahead of Whitby on wins alone.
- Model gives United of Manchester a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Whitby Clean Sheet 11%
United of Manchester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Whitby | United of Manchester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 38 |
| Wins | 7 | 18 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.14 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.71 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs United of Manchester
1:3
Aug 19, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Whitby
3:1
Apr 18, 2025 NPL Premier Division
United of Manchester vs Whitby
2:3
Aug 20, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs United of Manchester
0:0
Mar 26, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Whitby vs United of Manchester
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Whitby Compare
Top Goalscorer Charles J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
United of Manchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Fitzmartin J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Buckley J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Whitby 10 / 100
United of Manchester 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Whitby United of Manchester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FCU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Whitby found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
United of Manchester let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.
Solid form: Whitby remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Whitby VS United of Manchester
1.14 Goals Scored 1.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Whitby
(Home) 10 Jul
Bridlington Town
2 : 2 Whitby
25 Apr
Whitby
0 : 0 Cleethorpes
18 Apr
Leek Town
3 : 2 Whitby
11 Apr
Whitby
1 : 1 Hyde
06 Apr
Morpeth
3 : 0 Whitby
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Whitby
0 : 0 Cleethorpes
11 Apr
Whitby
1 : 1 Hyde
03 Apr
Whitby
1 : 3 United of Manchester
17 Mar
Whitby
1 : 2 Ashton United
14 Mar
Whitby
1 : 3 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
United of Manchester
(Away) 24 Jul
Southport
2 : 0 United of Manchester
20 Jul
Trafford
0 : 3 United of Manchester
18 Jul
United of Manchester
1 : 4 Salford
14 Jul
United of Manchester
2 : 0 Rochdale
11 Jul
Runcorn Linnets
0 : 4 United of Manchester
Page 1 of 8
24 Jul
Southport
2 : 0 United of Manchester
20 Jul
Trafford
0 : 3 United of Manchester
11 Jul
Runcorn Linnets
0 : 4 United of Manchester
25 Apr
Ilkeston
3 : 2 United of Manchester
11 Apr
Guiseley
2 : 5 United of Manchester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
