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Willem II vs FC Volendam

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 Koning Willem II Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ould-Chikh B.
18' Event
Veerman H.
34'
Besselink G.

AI Match Summary

FC Volendam in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Volendam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Willem II
6%
Draws
4%
FC Volendam
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Willem II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Volendam haven't matched Willem II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Willem II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Willem II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Willem II Clean Sheet 20%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willem II FC Volendam
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs Willem II
1:3
May 20, 2026 Eredivisie
Willem II vs FC Volendam
1:2
Sep 25, 2018 KNVB Beker
FC Volendam vs Willem II
1:2
Dec 13, 2013 Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam vs Willem II
0:2
Aug 30, 2013 Eerste Divisie
Willem II vs FC Volendam
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Willem II Compare

Top Goalscorer Doodeman N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

FC Volendam Compare

Top Goalscorer Ould-Chikh B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Veerman H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willem II 85 / 100
FC Volendam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willem II FC Volendam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Willem II scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

FC Volendam let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Willem II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Willem II VS FC Volendam
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Roda2
Waalwijk3
TBD-
Willem II-
Den Bosch2
Almere City6
TBD-
De Graafschap-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Quarter-finals
Waalwijk1
Willem II2
Almere City5
De Graafschap3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Semi-finals
Willem II3
Almere City0
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Final
Willem II4
FC Volendam3