Sport Picks

Peru

Segunda Division 2014

Willy Serrato

2 - 1

Jose Galvez

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Willy Serrato and Jose Galvez finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Willy Serrato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Willy Serrato

Draws

90%

Jose Galvez

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jose Galvez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Jose Galvez come out ahead of Willy Serrato on wins alone.
Model gives Jose Galvez a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 10%

Jose Galvez Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Willy Serrato	Jose Galvez
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	8	9
Losses	25	14
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	3.63	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2014 Liga 2

Willy Serrato vs Jose Galvez

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Jun 1, 2014 Liga 2

Jose Galvez vs Willy Serrato

Possession: 41% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willy Serrato 10 / 100

Jose Galvez 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Willy Serrato Jose Galvez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jose Galvez conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Willy Serrato found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (39 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Jose Galvez lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Willy Serrato VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

3.63 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

88% Over 2.5 0%

75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dep. Municipal	30	18	7	5	49:29	61
2	Deportivo Coopsol	30	17	7	6	53:26	58
3	Carlos Mannucci	30	17	4	9	46:32	55
4	Alianza Huanuco	30	15	8	7	51:30	53
5	Willy Serrato	30	12	10	8	44:37	46
6	Union Huaral	30	11	7	12	38:37	40
7	Defensor San Alejandro	30	10	9	11	37:37	39
8	Atl. Minero	30	10	9	11	30:40	39
9	Atletico Torino	30	9	10	11	37:34	37
10	Pacifico	30	9	8	13	33:44	35
11	Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)	30	11	6	13	36:50	35
12	Sport Boys	30	8	13	9	42:47	33
13	Sport Victoria	30	7	10	13	31:38	31
14	Comerciantes Unidos	30	7	9	14	29:36	30
15	Jose Galvez	30	7	10	13	25:39	25
16	Walter Ormeno	30	4	9	17	21:46	19