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Willy Serrato vs Jose Galvez Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2014 game between Willy Serrato and Jose Galvez finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Willy Serrato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Willy Serrato
15%
Draws
85%
Jose Galvez
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jose Galvez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jose Galvez come out ahead of Willy Serrato on wins alone.
  • Model gives Jose Galvez a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Willy Serrato Clean Sheet 10%
Jose Galvez Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Willy Serrato Jose Galvez
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.84 0.83
Goals Conceded 3.81 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2014 Liga 2
Willy Serrato vs Jose Galvez
2:1
Jun 1, 2014 Liga 2
Jose Galvez vs Willy Serrato
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Willy Serrato 10 / 100
Jose Galvez 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Willy Serrato Jose Galvez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jose Galvez Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jose Galvez conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Jose Galvez registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Willy Serrato scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Willy Serrato VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Willy Serrato

(Home)
28 Oct
Union Huaral
11 : 0
Willy Serrato
21 Oct
Willy Serrato
0 : 3
Cesar Vallejo
14 Oct
Sport Victoria
8 : 1
Willy Serrato
29 Sept
Willy Serrato
1 : 3
Atletico Grau
23 Sept
Cienciano
9 : 1
Willy Serrato
Page 1 of 7

Jose Galvez

(Away)
12 Nov
Jose Galvez
1 : 1
Union San Martin
05 Nov
Union San Martin
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Jose Galvez
0 : 1
Carlos Mannucci
15 Nov
Sport Boys
3 : 1
Jose Galvez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)