Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Daws M.
72'
72'
Walker B.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Moore C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Wimborne and Dorchester finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorchester.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Wimborne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Dorchester come out ahead of Wimborne on wins alone.
- Model gives Wimborne a 45% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Wimborne Clean Sheet 68%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wimborne | Dorchester |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Dorchester
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Wimborne
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Dorchester vs Wimborne
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Wimborne vs Dorchester
1:1
Sep 6, 2022 FA Cup
Dorchester vs Wimborne
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wimborne Compare
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Dorchester Compare
Top Goalscorer Daws M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wimborne 95 / 100
Dorchester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wimborne Dorchester
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wimborne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wimborne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Wimborne scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Dorchester conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Wimborne VS Dorchester
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Wimborne
(Home) 19 Sept
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1 Wimborne
12 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 0 Bracknell Town
08 Sept
Portishead Town
1 : 3 Wimborne
05 Sept
Wimborne
0 : 0 Portishead Town
31 Aug
Uxbridge
0 : 0 Wimborne
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Wimborne
2 : 0 Bracknell Town
05 Sept
Wimborne
0 : 0 Portishead Town
29 Aug
Wimborne
0 : 0 Hanworth Villa
15 Aug
Wimborne
1 : 1 Gloucester City
11 Aug
Wimborne
0 : 1 Chichester City
Page 1 of 3
Dorchester
(Away) 19 Sept
Dorchester
0 : 2 Oxford City
05 Sept
Brixham
2 : 3 Dorchester
29 Aug
Larkhall
2 : 1 Dorchester
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4 Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Brixham
2 : 3 Dorchester
29 Aug
Larkhall
2 : 1 Dorchester
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0 Dorchester
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0 Dorchester
28 Mar
Walton & Hersham
3 : 1 Dorchester
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
