Sport Picks

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Winchester City vs Plymouth Parkway

England England

Southern League Premier South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Garside R.

AI Match Summary

Plymouth Parkway in this Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Plymouth Parkway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Winchester City
28%
Draws
50%
Plymouth Parkway
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plymouth Parkway lately — more wins on the board than Winchester City.
  • Plymouth Parkway are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Winchester City Clean Sheet 19%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Winchester City Plymouth Parkway
Matches Played 33 36
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs Plymouth Parkway
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City
0:3
Mar 21, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City
1:1
Oct 3, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Winchester City vs Plymouth Parkway
1:1
Apr 18, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Winchester City
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Winchester City Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Plymouth Parkway Compare

Top Goalscorer Garside R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Winchester City 24 / 100
Plymouth Parkway 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Winchester City Plymouth Parkway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Winchester City's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Plymouth Parkway conceded in 78% of 36 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Winchester City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Plymouth Parkway
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Winchester City

(Home)
20 Sept
Thame United
3 : 1
Winchester City
06 Sept
Winchester City
2 : 0
Frome Town
02 Sept
Fareham
1 : 0
Winchester City
30 Aug
Winchester City
0 : 0
Fareham
02 Aug
Sholing
2 : 0
Winchester City
Page 1 of 7

Plymouth Parkway

(Away)
14 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 0
Torquay
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4
Plymouth
25 Apr
Gosport Borough
3 : 6
Plymouth Parkway
18 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Hanwell Town
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Merthyr Town4227105105:4691
2AFC Totton422513485:3588
3Walton & Hersham422411790:5483
4Gloucester City422114781:5377
5Dorchester421918575:4875
6Havant & Waterlooville4221111084:4974
7Hungerford4216111563:5559
8Hanwell Town4215131458:6258
9Taunton Town4213181164:5857
10Wimborne4215121549:5657
11Sholing4214101859:6852
12Gosport Borough4213121753:6151
13Plymouth Parkway421482063:7750
14Poole Town4213101948:6249
15Basingstoke4211151662:6448
16Chertsey Town421452367:8247
17Tiverton4212111939:7147
18Bracknell Town4211131857:7246
19Winchester City4212102054:7446
20Swindon Supermarine421282260:7844
21Frome Town429132039:6040
22Marlow42563145:11521
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 (Play Offs)