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Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Orlen Stadion, Płock
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Fassbender M.
Assist: Dlugosz W.
46'
Gallapeni D.
49' Event
Stepinski M.
Assist: Dlugosz W.

AI Match Summary

Korona Kielce in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korona Kielce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Wisla Plock
20%
Draws
40%
Korona Kielce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Wisla Plock have won more games recently than Korona Kielce.
  • Win probability leans Wisla Plock's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Wisla Plock Clean Sheet 16%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wisla Plock Korona Kielce
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce
0:2
Dec 8, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock
1:1
Jul 19, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce
2:0
Mar 4, 2023 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Wisla Plock
1:0
Aug 20, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Wisla Plock vs Korona Kielce
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wisla Plock Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Korona Kielce Compare

Top Goalscorer Fassbender M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stepinski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wisla Plock 41 / 100
Korona Kielce 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wisla Plock Korona Kielce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wisla Plock found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

Korona Kielce let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Wisla Plock remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wisla Plock VS Korona Kielce
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Wisla Plock

(Home)
20 Sept
Zaglebie
0 : 2
Wisla Plock
13 Sept
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Cracovia
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3
Wisla Plock
28 Aug
Wisla Plock
0 : 2
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

Korona Kielce

(Away)
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2
Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2
Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1
Wisla
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1
Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)