Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wismut Gera vs Auerbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bondarenko N.
14' Event
Hoffman F.
16' Event
Roscher M.

AI Match Summary

Auerbach in this Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Auerbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Wismut Gera
20%
Draws
80%
Auerbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Auerbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Auerbach have won more games recently than Wismut Gera.
  • Model gives Auerbach a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Auerbach here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Wismut Gera Clean Sheet 16%
Auerbach Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wismut Gera Auerbach
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 3 8
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Club Friendly
Auerbach vs Wismut Gera
8:2
May 31, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wismut Gera vs Auerbach
3:4
Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Auerbach vs Wismut Gera
0:2
Jul 20, 2016 Club Friendly
Auerbach vs Wismut Gera
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wismut Gera Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoffman F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bondarenko N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Auerbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Roscher M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hache F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wismut Gera 10 / 100
Auerbach 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wismut Gera Auerbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auerbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wismut Gera found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Auerbach let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Away concern: Auerbach has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auerbach
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wismut Gera

(Home)
26 Jul
Auerbach
8 : 2
Wismut Gera
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Wismut Gera
3 : 4
Auerbach
25 May
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Wismut Gera
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Auerbach

(Away)
19 Sept
Freital
2 : 2
Auerbach
13 Sept
Auerbach
1 : 1
Dresden II
28 Aug
Bautzen
0 : 3
Auerbach
16 Aug
Auerbach
1 : 0
Plauen
09 Aug
Halle
2 : 1
Auerbach
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magdeburg II 30 23 6 1 88:25 75
2 Krieschow 30 16 7 7 75:42 55
3 Halle 30 16 7 7 65:42 55
4 Rsv Eintracht 30 17 3 10 67:37 54
5 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
6 Freital 30 15 4 11 54:47 49
7 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 62:55 48
8 Bischofswerdaer 30 12 10 8 38:40 46
9 Bautzen 30 10 8 12 57:58 38
10 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 57:72 36
11 Sandersdorf 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
12 Grimma 30 9 7 14 50:65 34
13 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 8 7 15 50:58 31
14 Wismut Gera 30 9 4 17 50:78 31
15 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 6 7 17 40:79 25
16 Ludwigsfelder 30 1 4 25 17:74 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)