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Wismut Gera vs Ludwigsfelder Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bondarenko N.
41' Event
Balde C.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025 game between Wismut Gera and Ludwigsfelder finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wismut Gera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Wismut Gera
15%
Draws
85%
Ludwigsfelder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludwigsfelder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wismut Gera come out ahead of Ludwigsfelder on wins alone.
  • Wismut Gera are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wismut Gera Clean Sheet 10%
Ludwigsfelder Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wismut Gera Ludwigsfelder
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 1.53 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wismut Gera vs Ludwigsfelder
2:0
Oct 19, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Wismut Gera
2:2
Apr 6, 2019 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wismut Gera vs Ludwigsfelder
4:0
Sep 29, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Wismut Gera
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wismut Gera Compare

Top Goalscorer Bondarenko N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balde C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Ludwigsfelder Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wismut Gera 65 / 100
Ludwigsfelder 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wismut Gera Ludwigsfelder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wismut Gera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wismut Gera scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Ludwigsfelder's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ludwigsfelder registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wismut Gera VS Ludwigsfelder
2.25 Goals Scored 0.38
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wismut Gera

(Home)
26 Jul
Auerbach
8 : 2
Wismut Gera
07 Jun
SC Staaken
2 : 0
Wismut Gera
04 Jun
Wismut Gera
1 : 2
SC Staaken
31 May
Wismut Gera
3 : 4
Auerbach
25 May
Magdeburg II
4 : 2
Wismut Gera
Page 1 of 6

Ludwigsfelder

(Away)
18 Jul
Rathenow
0 : 3
Ludwigsfelder
28 Jun
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 3
Hertha Berlin
31 May
Ludwigsfelder
1 : 4
Einheit Rudolstadt
25 May
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Ludwigsfelder
17 May
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 2
Krieschow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magdeburg II 30 23 6 1 88:25 75
2 Krieschow 30 16 7 7 75:42 55
3 Halle 30 16 7 7 65:42 55
4 Rsv Eintracht 30 17 3 10 67:37 54
5 Auerbach 30 14 9 7 56:41 51
6 Freital 30 15 4 11 54:47 49
7 Halberstadt 30 14 6 10 62:55 48
8 Bischofswerdaer 30 12 10 8 38:40 46
9 Bautzen 30 10 8 12 57:58 38
10 Einheit Wernigerode 30 10 6 14 57:72 36
11 Sandersdorf 30 10 5 15 36:49 35
12 Grimma 30 9 7 14 50:65 34
13 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 8 7 15 50:58 31
14 Wismut Gera 30 9 4 17 50:78 31
15 Blau-Weiss Zorbau 30 6 7 17 40:79 25
16 Ludwigsfelder 30 1 4 25 17:74 7
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Main)
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation (Main)