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Wismut Gera vs SC Staaken

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wismut Gera play SC Staaken in the Oberliga NOFV - Relegation. SC Staaken are favorites here. Recently, Wismut Gera averaged 1.53 goals scored and 2.9 conceded. SC Staaken averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Wismut Gera won 0, SC Staaken won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 7, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Wismut Gera and 3.13 for SC Staaken. This points to a SC Staaken double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Wismut Gera
15%
Draws
57%
SC Staaken
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Staaken

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Wismut Gera picked up more points recently compared to SC Staaken.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 3.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Wismut Gera Clean Sheet 10%
SC Staaken Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wismut Gera SC Staaken
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.53 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2025 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
SC Staaken vs Wismut Gera
2:0
Jun 4, 2025 Oberliga NOFV - Relegation
Wismut Gera vs SC Staaken
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wismut Gera Compare

Top Goalscorer Zerrenner M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

SC Staaken Compare

Top Goalscorer Stein B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boateng K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wismut Gera 27 / 100
SC Staaken 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wismut Gera SC Staaken

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Staaken Win (2)
Secondary Pick SC Staaken & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wismut Gera attacking → ← attacking SC Staaken

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wismut Gera scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

SC Staaken let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Wismut Gera went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

SC Staaken lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 39
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00