Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wollongong vs SD Raiders

Australia Australia

NPL NSW WIN Stadium
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wollongong play SD Raiders in the NPL NSW. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wollongong averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. SD Raiders averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Wollongong won 0, SD Raiders won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Wollongong and 1.31 for SD Raiders. This points to a Wollongong double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Wollongong
33%
Draws
40%
SD Raiders
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Wollongong has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SD Raiders.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for SD Raiders.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL NSW provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 18%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wollongong SD Raiders
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Wollongong
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wollongong 28 / 100
SD Raiders 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wollongong SD Raiders

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wollongong scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

SD Raiders let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Wollongong went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

SD Raiders lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wollongong VS SD Raiders
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions22164242:1452
2APIA Leichhardt22153445:2648
3Sydney Utd22143533:1745
4Rockdale Ilinden22113836:3136
5Sutherland Sharks22112935:2835
6Sydney FC U2322104831:3234
7Wollongong2295824:2632
8Western Sydney Wanderers U212285942:3129
9NWS Spirit22841024:2628
10Manly Utd2276923:2827
11SD Raiders22751029:3626
12UNSW22741130:3525
13St. George City2267922:3525
14Blacktown City22471127:3819
15St George Saints22611521:3619
16Sydney Olympic22431522:4715