Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Chianese N.
15'
15'
Masciovecchio A.
22'
22'
Knezevic L.
AI Match Summary
SD Raiders in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Raiders.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wollongong
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- SD Raiders have won more games recently than Wollongong.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on SD Raiders taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wollongong | SD Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs SD Raiders
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Wollongong
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wollongong Compare
Top Goalscorer Masciovecchio A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
SD Raiders Compare
Top Goalscorer Chianese N.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wollongong 26 / 100
SD Raiders 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wollongong SD Raiders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: SD Raiders conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Wollongong scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Away concern: SD Raiders has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wollongong VS SD Raiders
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Wollongong
(Home) 30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 3
SD Raiders
(Away) 30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1 Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
01 Aug
St George Saints
2 : 3 SD Raiders
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3 SD Raiders
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
