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Xerez Deportivo FC vs CD Estepona

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Contreras A.
52' Event
Herrero A.
(Penalty)
64'
Benites M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Xerez Deportivo FC and CD Estepona finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Estepona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Xerez Deportivo FC
6%
Draws
90%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Estepona come out ahead of Xerez Deportivo FC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on CD Estepona taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Xerez Deportivo FC Clean Sheet 16%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xerez Deportivo FC CD Estepona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs CD Estepona
0:2
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Xerez Deportivo FC
0:2
Jan 12, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Xerez Deportivo FC vs CD Estepona
0:0
Sep 1, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Xerez Deportivo FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xerez Deportivo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xerez Deportivo FC 10 / 100
CD Estepona 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xerez Deportivo FC CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Xerez Deportivo FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Estepona conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Xerez Deportivo FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Xerez Deportivo FC VS CD Estepona
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xerez Deportivo FC

(Home)
03 May
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 2
Xerez Deportivo FC
26 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Xerez CD
19 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 1
Xerez Deportivo FC
12 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
0 : 0
Linares
05 Apr
Aguilas FC
3 : 0
Xerez Deportivo FC
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CD Estepona

(Away)
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Real Madrid C
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2
CD Estepona
03 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
CD Estepona
26 Apr
CD Estepona
2 : 1
Aguilas FC
19 Apr
Linares
2 : 3
CD Estepona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Extremadura341712554:3863
2Deportiva Minera34196950:3363
3Aguilas FC34187945:2561
4Xerez CD34178932:2459
5Jaen341610843:3358
6Recreativo Huelva34169941:2557
7UCAM Murcia341671149:4155
8Linares341114942:4547
9La Union (Malacitano)341361544:4345
10Lorca Deportiva341291332:3645
11Yeclano341281433:3344
12Antoniano341281438:4044
13CD Estepona341281440:4444
14Puente Genil3410101428:3740
15Xerez Deportivo FC348121434:4336
16Melilla347131436:4034
17Almeria B34492126:5321
18Malaga B34562332:6621
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)