Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Xinabajul vs Guastatoya

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2024/2025 Estadio Los Cuchumatanes, Huehuetenango
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Velasquez K.
20'
Hernandez
46'
Sub
Ramirez K. G. A. In: Garcia N.
Out: Ramirez K. G. A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Nacional 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Xinabajul
35%
Draws
50%
Guastatoya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guastatoya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Guastatoya have won more games recently than Xinabajul.
  • Model gives Guastatoya a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Xinabajul Clean Sheet 19%
Guastatoya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Xinabajul Guastatoya
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2025 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Xinabajul
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Liga Nacional
Guastatoya vs Xinabajul
5:1
Aug 18, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Liga Nacional
Xinabajul vs Guastatoya
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Xinabajul Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Guastatoya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Xinabajul 24 / 100
Guastatoya 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Xinabajul Guastatoya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guastatoya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Xinabajul's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Guastatoya let in goals in 76% of their last 34 matches.

Xinabajul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guastatoya
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Xinabajul

(Home)
27 Apr
Comunicaciones
2 : 1
Xinabajul
24 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Guastatoya
20 Apr
Deportivo Mixco
3 : 1
Xinabajul
17 Apr
Xinabajul
0 : 0
Antigua
14 Apr
Xinabajul
1 : 1
Malacateco
Page 1 of 6

Guastatoya

(Away)
19 Sept
Comunicaciones
1 : 2
Guastatoya
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
10 Sept
Suchitepequez
1 : 1
Guastatoya
06 Sept
Coban Imperial
0 : 1
Guastatoya
29 Aug
Guastatoya
1 : 2
Marquense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal 20 10 5 5 26:18 35
2 Comunicaciones 20 9 6 5 27:24 33
3 Antigua 20 9 5 6 30:24 32
4 Coban Imperial 20 10 2 8 26:25 32
5 Malacateco 20 8 5 7 30:26 29
6 Guastatoya 20 8 5 7 21:22 29
7 Marquense 20 7 6 7 18:19 27
8 Deportivo Mixco 20 6 7 7 21:23 25
9 Xelaju 20 6 6 8 28:25 24
10 Deportivo Achuapa 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
11 Xinabajul 20 4 5 11 21:37 17
12 Zacapa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)