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Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

League One Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Giovanny
Assist: Huang Zhenfei
14'
Cui Taixu
46'
Sub
Cui Taixu In: Zong Xuanyu
Out: Cui Taixu

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Yanbian Longding and Guangxi Hengchen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Yanbian Longding
15%
Draws
68%
Guangxi Hengchen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guangxi Hengchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guangxi Hengchen come out ahead of Yanbian Longding on wins alone.
  • Guangxi Hengchen are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Yanbian Longding Clean Sheet 11%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yanbian Longding Guangxi Hengchen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.59 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 League One
Guangxi Hengchen vs Yanbian Longding
2:1
May 10, 2026 League One
Yanbian Longding vs Guangxi Hengchen
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yanbian Longding Compare

Top Goalscorer Giovanny
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapoussin L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yanbian Longding 10 / 100
Guangxi Hengchen 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yanbian Longding Guangxi Hengchen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangxi Hengchen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yanbian Longding's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Guangxi Hengchen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Yanbian Longding stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yanbian Longding VS Guangxi Hengchen
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yanbian Longding

(Home)
18 Sept
Yanbian Longding
1 : 2
Guangdong GZ-Power
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
05 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 0
Yanbian Longding
29 Aug
Shaanxi Union
3 : 1
Yanbian Longding
22 Aug
Ningbo Professional
2 : 3
Yanbian Longding
Page 1 of 6

Guangxi Hengchen

(Away)
25 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
29 Aug
Nanjing City
0 : 2
Guangxi Hengchen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 24 16 6 2 48:20 54
2 Guangxi Hengchen 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
3 Shenzhen Juniors 24 12 8 4 39:25 44
4 Nantong Zhiyun 24 11 9 4 33:20 42
5 Shaanxi Union 24 10 6 8 38:26 36
6 Yanbian Longding 24 9 8 7 33:27 35
7 Wuxi Wugou 24 9 5 10 36:29 32
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 24 8 7 9 22:25 31
9 Changchun Yatai 24 10 3 11 37:40 29
10 Ningbo Professional 24 9 5 10 27:30 29
11 Dalian Kun City 24 7 8 9 30:36 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 24 7 8 9 28:33 26
13 Dingnan Ganlian 24 4 11 9 35:46 23
14 Nanjing City 24 5 6 13 20:33 21
15 Meizhou Hakka 24 7 3 14 25:50 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 24 2 7 15 24:49 13
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)