Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Jackson M.
48'
48'
Jackson M.
87'
87'
Zebroski C.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Yate in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Evesham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Yate lately — more wins on the board than Evesham.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Yate Clean Sheet 23%
Evesham Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yate | Evesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Evesham
3:0
Dec 27, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Yate
0:1
Feb 28, 2009 Southern Premier League
Yate vs Evesham
0:1
Sep 20, 2008 Southern Premier League
Evesham vs Yate
4:1
Apr 22, 2006 Southern Premier League
Yate vs Evesham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Evesham Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yate 33 / 100
Evesham 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yate Evesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yate scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Evesham let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Yate stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yate VS Evesham
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Yate
(Home) 01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1 Yate
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1 Yate
11 Jul
Yate
0 : 1 Barry Town
25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Yate
18 Apr
Yate
2 : 1 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Yate
0 : 1 Barry Town
18 Apr
Yate
2 : 1 Gloucester City
06 Apr
Yate
3 : 0 Evesham
28 Mar
Yate
2 : 0 Hanwell Town
24 Mar
Yate
2 : 2 Poole Town
Page 1 of 3
Evesham
(Away) 31 Jul
Evesham
1 : 1 Bishops Cleeve
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3 Cheltenham
14 Jul
Evesham
1 : 0 Worcester
11 Jul
Evesham
2 : 0 Caerau Ely
07 Jul
Evesham
1 : 2 Redditch
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Taunton Town
0 : 0 Evesham
06 Apr
Yate
3 : 0 Evesham
31 Mar
Tiverton
1 : 2 Evesham
28 Mar
Havant & Waterlooville
6 : 1 Evesham
24 Mar
Hanwell Town
2 : 0 Evesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
