Sport Picks
Yate vs Gloucester City
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Waite J.
36'
36'
Jackson M.
90'
90'
Guest J.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Yate and Gloucester City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gloucester City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gloucester City come out ahead of Yate on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Yate Clean Sheet 14%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yate | Gloucester City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gloucester City
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Yate
1:0
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Gloucester City vs Yate
1:0
Oct 16, 2013 FA Cup
Gloucester City vs Yate
7:0
Oct 12, 2013 FA Cup
Yate vs Gloucester City
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guest J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Gloucester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Waite J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yate 35 / 100
Gloucester City 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yate Gloucester City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gloucester City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yate's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Gloucester City let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Yate went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yate VS Gloucester City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Yate
(Home) 22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1 Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0 Devizes Town
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4 Taunton Town
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0 Chippenham Town
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0 Devizes Town
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4 Taunton Town
22 Aug
Yate
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
08 Aug
Yate
1 : 0 Gosport Borough
Page 1 of 3
Gloucester City
(Away) 22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Basingstoke
08 Sept
Mangotsfield
0 : 4 Gloucester City
05 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Mangotsfield
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Malvern Town
5 : 2 Gloucester City
19 Sept
AFC Totton
0 : 2 Gloucester City
08 Sept
Mangotsfield
0 : 4 Gloucester City
29 Aug
Havant & Waterlooville
3 : 3 Gloucester City
15 Aug
Wimborne
1 : 1 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
