Sport Picks
Yate vs Gloucester City
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
7'
7'
Waite J.
36'
36'
Jackson M.
90'
90'
Guest J.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Yate and Gloucester City finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gloucester City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gloucester City come out ahead of Yate on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Gloucester City's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Yate Clean Sheet 17%
Gloucester City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yate | Gloucester City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gloucester City
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Gloucester City vs Yate
1:0
Jul 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Gloucester City vs Yate
1:0
Oct 16, 2013 FA Cup
Gloucester City vs Yate
7:0
Oct 12, 2013 FA Cup
Yate vs Gloucester City
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yate Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guest J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Gloucester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Waite J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yate 23 / 100
Gloucester City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yate Gloucester City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GLO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Yate's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Gloucester City let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Yate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yate VS Gloucester City
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Yate
(Home) 01 Aug
Leamington
3 : 1 Yate
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1 Yate
11 Jul
Yate
0 : 1 Barry Town
25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3 Yate
18 Apr
Yate
2 : 1 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Yate
0 : 1 Barry Town
18 Apr
Yate
2 : 1 Gloucester City
06 Apr
Yate
3 : 0 Evesham
28 Mar
Yate
2 : 0 Hanwell Town
24 Mar
Yate
2 : 2 Poole Town
Page 1 of 3
Gloucester City
(Away) 31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1 Gloucester City
25 Jul
Barry Town
0 : 1 Gloucester City
18 Jul
Gloucester City
0 : 1 Haverfordwest
11 Jul
Gloucester City
2 : 1 Newport
04 May
Farnham
5 : 1 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Weston-super-Mare
0 : 1 Gloucester City
25 Jul
Barry Town
0 : 1 Gloucester City
04 May
Farnham
5 : 1 Gloucester City
18 Apr
Yate
2 : 1 Gloucester City
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
