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Yate vs Taunton Town

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Seymour B.
29' Event
Robinson S.
32' Event
Rice J.

AI Match Summary

Taunton Town in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taunton Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Yate
15%
Draws
39%
Taunton Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Taunton Town lately — more wins on the board than Yate.
  • Model gives Taunton Town a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • Taunton Town have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%
Taunton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yate Taunton Town
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.4 2
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Taunton Town
1:4
Dec 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Taunton Town
1:2
Aug 13, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Taunton Town vs Yate
2:1
Apr 12, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Taunton Town vs Yate
2:1
Nov 13, 2021 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Taunton Town
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yate Compare

Top Goalscorer Mannings R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Taunton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Seymour B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Robinson S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yate 10 / 100
Taunton Town 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yate Taunton Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Taunton Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yate found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Taunton Town has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Yate remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Yate VS Taunton Town
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Yate

(Home)
26 Sept
Yate
0 : 1
Sholing
22 Sept
Chippenham Town
2 : 1
Yate
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3
Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0
Devizes Town
Page 1 of 6

Taunton Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Havant & Waterlooville
2 : 3
Taunton Town
22 Sept
Taunton Town
1 : 3
Bath City
19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1
Taunton Town
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
05 Sept
Taunton Town
4 : 0
Millbrook
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 22:7 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
8 Berkhamsted Town 9 4 1 4 11:12 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
12 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
15 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
16 Basingstoke 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
22 Havant & Waterlooville 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)