Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Spartak
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bahoken S.
20'
Sokolenko A.
30'
Sub
Bahoken S. In: Muldinov T.
Out: Bahoken S.

AI Match Summary

Yelimay Semey in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yelimay Semey.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Yelimay Semey
6%
Draws
4%
Kyzylzhar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yelimay Semey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyzylzhar haven't matched Yelimay Semey's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Yelimay Semey a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Yelimay Semey Clean Sheet 68%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yelimay Semey Kyzylzhar
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
0:1
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 Premier League
Yelimay Semey vs Kyzylzhar
2:0
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
1:1
May 14, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Kyzylzhar vs Yelimay Semey
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yelimay Semey Compare

Top Goalscorer Placca F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kyzylzhar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yelimay Semey 95 / 100
Kyzylzhar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yelimay Semey Kyzylzhar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yelimay Semey scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Kyzylzhar's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Kyzylzhar has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Yelimay Semey VS Kyzylzhar
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211