Sport Picks
Yelimay Semey W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
Kazakhstan
League Women 
Match Events
56'
56'
Tian A.
60'
60'
Tleubekova M.
80'
80'
Tian A.
Assist: Satygalieva F.
AI Match Summary
The League Women game between Yelimay Semey W and Ertis Pavlodar W finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Yelimay Semey W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Yelimay Semey W come out ahead of Ertis Pavlodar W on wins alone.
- Yelimay Semey W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Yelimay Semey W Clean Sheet 10%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yelimay Semey W | Ertis Pavlodar W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 12 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 7, 2026 League Women
Ertis Pavlodar W vs Yelimay Semey W
1:3
Jun 23, 2026 League Women
Yelimay Semey W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yelimay Semey W Compare
Top Goalscorer Tian A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Ertis Pavlodar W Compare
Top Goalscorer Tleubekova M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Baizhanova A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yelimay Semey W 38 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yelimay Semey W Ertis Pavlodar W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick YEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Yelimay Semey W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Ertis Pavlodar W let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.
Yelimay Semey W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Yelimay Semey W VS Ertis Pavlodar W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Yelimay Semey W
(Home) 27 Jul
Zhenis Astana W
1 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
20 Jul
Kyzylzhar W
4 : 0 Yelimay Semey W
14 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 0 Altai W
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 6 Aktobe W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3 Yelimay Semey W
Page 1 of 6
14 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 0 Altai W
10 Jul
Yelimay Semey W
0 : 6 Aktobe W
23 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
09 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
1 : 0 Kyzylzhar W
19 May
Yelimay Semey W
9 : 0 Okzhetpes W
Page 1 of 3
Ertis Pavlodar W
(Away) 28 Jul
Aktobe W
9 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar W
20 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
2 : 0 Okzhetpes W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
07 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar W
1 : 3 Yelimay Semey W
23 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
Page 1 of 3
28 Jul
Aktobe W
9 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar W
14 Jul
FC Astana W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
23 Jun
Yelimay Semey W
2 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar W
09 Jun
Okzhetpes W
0 : 3 Ertis Pavlodar W
26 May
Tobol W
1 : 3 Ertis Pavlodar W
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BIIK Shymkent W | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 93:1 | 33 |
| 2 | Tomiris-Turan W | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Kaisar Kyzylorda W | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Atyrau W | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:25 | 17 |
| 5 | Kairat W | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Ordabasy W | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:23 | 12 |
| 7 | Zhetysu W | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau W | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1:43 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulytau W | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2:43 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aktobe W | 12 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 120:2 | 36 |
| 2 | Zhenis Astana W | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 58:18 | 31 |
| 3 | Kyzylzhar W | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 34:14 | 20 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey W | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 28:25 | 19 |
| 5 | Tobol W | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14:39 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Astana W | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19:26 | 16 |
| 7 | Ertis Pavlodar W | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 8 | Shakhter Karagandy W | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:62 | 10 |
| 9 | Okzhetpes W | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8:55 | 3 |
| 10 | Altai W | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5:53 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
