Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 Yeni Malatya Stadyumu, Malatya

K. Istklalspor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Yeni Malatyaspor host K. Istklalspor in the 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026. K. Istklalspor are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Yeni Malatyaspor at 0 goals for, 2.63 against; K. Istklalspor at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Yeni Malatyaspor have won 0 to K. Istklalspor's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 2.06, favoring K. Istklalspor. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Yeni Malatyaspor

Draws

90%

K. Istklalspor

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: K. Istklalspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

K. Istklalspor carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on K. Istklalspor taking it.
Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%

Yeni Malatyaspor Clean Sheet 10%

K. Istklalspor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Yeni Malatyaspor	K. Istklalspor
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	0	18
Draws	2	5
Losses	28	8
Goals Scored	0	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.63	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Yeni Malatyaspor vs K. Istklalspor

0:3

Aug 30, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

K. Istklalspor vs Yeni Malatyaspor

2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yeni Malatyaspor 10 / 100

K. Istklalspor 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Yeni Malatyaspor K. Istklalspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick K. Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Yeni Malatyaspor found the back of the net in 20% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: K. Istklalspor conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: K. Istklalspor registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Yeni Malatyaspor VS K. Istklalspor

0 Goals Scored 1.5

2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History