Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Walker S.
Assist: Jones R.
45'
45'
Gubbins J.
49'
49'
Radcliffe B.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Yeovil and Carlisle finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yeovil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Yeovil haven't matched Carlisle's recent run of results.
- Yeovil are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yeovil | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League
Yeovil vs Carlisle
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Yeovil
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 National League
Yeovil vs Carlisle
1:1
May 4, 2019 League Two
Yeovil vs Carlisle
0:0
Oct 27, 2018 League Two
Carlisle vs Yeovil
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yeovil Compare
Top Goalscorer Walker S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Carlisle Compare
Top Goalscorer Bunker H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yeovil 40 / 100
Carlisle 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yeovil Carlisle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yeovil found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Carlisle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Yeovil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Yeovil VS Carlisle
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Yeovil
(Home) 18 Sept
Yeovil
4 : 1 Solihull Moors
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
05 Sept
Southend
3 : 2 Yeovil
31 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 2 Tamworth
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Yeovil
4 : 1 Solihull Moors
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4 AFC Fylde
31 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 2 Tamworth
22 Aug
Yeovil
3 : 0 Gateshead
15 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 1 Carlisle
Page 1 of 3
Carlisle
(Away) 19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1 Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2 Southend
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Carlisle
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Carlisle
28 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 1 Carlisle
15 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 1 Carlisle
01 Aug
Derby U21
0 : 3 Carlisle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
