Sport Picks
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Chiba
Japan
J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium, Yokohama 
Match Events
40'
40'
Quinones J.
52'
52'
Tono D.
66'
66'
Sub
Himeno M. In: Issaka Z.
Out: Himeno M.
AI Match Summary
Yokohama F. Marinos in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Yokohama F. Marinos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Yokohama F. Marinos have won more games recently than Chiba.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Yokohama F. Marinos taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 68%
Chiba Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yokohama F. Marinos | Chiba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Chiba
2:0
Aug 29, 2009 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Chiba
1:1
May 23, 2009 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
Nov 23, 2008 J1 League
Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Top Goalscorer Tono D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tanimura K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Chiba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yokohama F. Marinos 95 / 100
Chiba 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yokohama F. Marinos Chiba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick YOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Yokohama F. Marinos stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Yokohama F. Marinos found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Chiba let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Yokohama F. Marinos VS Chiba
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Home) 19 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 1 Kumamoto
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 1 Kumamoto
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
16 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
10 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 2 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 4
Chiba
(Away) 06 Jun
Chiba
1 : 2 Avispa Fukuoka
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
17 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Kashima Antlers
10 May
Chiba
0 : 2 Machida Zelvia
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 2 Chiba
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
06 May
FC Tokyo
0 : 3 Chiba
02 May
Urawa Reds
2 : 0 Chiba
25 Apr
Kawasaki Frontale
2 : 1 Chiba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
