Sport Picks
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
Japan
J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium, Yokohama 
Match Events
41'
41'
Yuruki K.
Assist: Kubo T.
46'
46'
Sub
Yuruki K. In: Segawa Y.
Out: Yuruki K.
47'
47'
Tsunoda R.
AI Match Summary
The J1 League 2026 game between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kashiwa Reysol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashiwa Reysol.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Kashiwa Reysol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Yokohama F. Marinos's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kashiwa Reysol here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 68%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Yokohama F. Marinos | Kashiwa Reysol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 J.League Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Sep 3, 2025 J.League Cup
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Yokohama F. Marinos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Kashiwa Reysol Compare
Top Goalscorer Yuruki K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Yokohama F. Marinos 59 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Yokohama F. Marinos Kashiwa Reysol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick YOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yokohama F. Marinos has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Kashiwa Reysol let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kashiwa Reysol
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Yokohama F. Marinos
(Home) 19 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 1 Kumamoto
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
31 May
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 Yokohama F. Marinos
24 May
Verdy
0 : 6 Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 1 Kumamoto
15 Jul
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
06 Jun
Yokohama F. Marinos
3 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
16 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
10 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 2 Kashima Antlers
Page 1 of 4
Kashiwa Reysol
(Away) 06 Jun
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 1 Kyoto
30 May
Kyoto
2 : 6 Kashiwa Reysol
23 May
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 2 Chiba
16 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
10 May
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 0 Kawasaki Frontale
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Kyoto
2 : 6 Kashiwa Reysol
16 May
Yokohama F. Marinos
0 : 1 Kashiwa Reysol
03 May
Verdy
1 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
19 Apr
Mito
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
11 Apr
Machida Zelvia
1 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 31:11 | 45 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 32:18 | 37 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 18 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 28:22 | 37 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 26:28 | 28 |
| 5 | Verdy | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 22:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 25:22 | 25 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 28:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 9 | Mito | 18 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 23:39 | 18 |
| 10 | Chiba | 18 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18:34 | 12 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 29:25 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka | 18 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 30:21 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 33:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:23 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 31:25 | 28 |
| 6 | Okayama | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 26:29 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 23:25 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 18 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 22:28 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:29 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 21:31 | 21 |
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
