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Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol Prediction & H2H Stats

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Nissan Stadium, Yokohama
Yokohama F. Marinos Logo

Yokohama F. Marinos

0 - 1
FT
Kashiwa Reysol Logo

Kashiwa Reysol

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Yuruki K.
Assist: Kubo T.
46'
Sub
Yuruki K. In: Segawa Y.
Out: Yuruki K.
47'
Tsunoda R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J1 League 2026 game between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kashiwa Reysol finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kashiwa Reysol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Yokohama F. Marinos
20%
Draws
42%
Kashiwa Reysol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kashiwa Reysol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Kashiwa Reysol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Kashiwa Reysol here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 18%
Kashiwa Reysol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yokohama F. Marinos Kashiwa Reysol
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 0
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.68 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:2
May 16, 2026 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 J1 League
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 J.League Cup
Kashiwa Reysol vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Yokohama F. Marinos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Kashiwa Reysol Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuruki K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yokohama F. Marinos 32 / 100
Kashiwa Reysol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yokohama F. Marinos Kashiwa Reysol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Yokohama F. Marinos scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Yokohama F. Marinos went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kashiwa Reysol let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Yokohama F. Marinos VS Kashiwa Reysol
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yokohama F. Marinos

(Home)
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
02 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 : 1
Kyoto
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Kashiwa Reysol

(Away)
03 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
5 : 4
Gamba Osaka
23 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Imabari
20 Sept
Machida Zelvia
2 : 4
Kashiwa Reysol
16 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 1
Kashiwa Reysol
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
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