Sport Picks

Stadium Background

York City vs Eastleigh

England England

National League 2025/2026 York Community Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

York City play Eastleigh in the National League 2025/2026. York City are favorites here. Recently, York City averaged 2.39 goals scored and 0.79 conceded. Eastleigh averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, York City won 3, Eastleigh won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for York City and 1.06 for Eastleigh. This points to a York City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
York City
17%
Draws
23%
Eastleigh
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: York City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • York City picked up more points recently compared to Eastleigh.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
York City Clean Sheet 22%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric York City Eastleigh
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 22 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.39 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National League
York City vs Eastleigh
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs York City
2:4
May 5, 2025 National League
Eastleigh vs York City
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 National League
York City vs Eastleigh
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 National League
York City vs Eastleigh
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagan-Walcott M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kitching M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Blair A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

York City 58 / 100
Eastleigh 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
York City Eastleigh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick York City Win (1)
Secondary Pick York City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

York City attacking → ← attacking Eastleigh

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

York City scored in 100% of their last 28 games.

Eastleigh let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

York City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Eastleigh lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 30
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234