Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Young Africans vs Mwadui

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium, Dar es Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Revocatus R.
20' Event
Mwamnyeto B.
65' Event
Revocatus R.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 game between Young Africans and Mwadui finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Young Africans
15%
Draws
0%
Mwadui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Young Africans come out ahead of Mwadui on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Young Africans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Young Africans have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 20%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Young Africans Mwadui
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 4
Draws 5 4
Losses 2 22
Goals Scored 2.37 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mwadui
3:2
Dec 12, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Young Africans
0:5
Jul 18, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mwadui
1:1
Jun 13, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Young Africans
0:1
Jan 15, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Mwadui
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwamnyeto B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Songne Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Mwadui Compare

Top Goalscorer Revocatus R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Young Africans 85 / 100
Mwadui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Young Africans Mwadui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Young Africans scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Mwadui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Young Africans went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Young Africans VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Young Africans

(Home)
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
24 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 0
JKT Tanzania
20 Aug
Young Africans
4 : 1
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

Mwadui

(Away)
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0
Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0
Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2
Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3
Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)