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YPA vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Paavilainen J.
27' Event
Savic S.
39' Event
Elmi I.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C 2016 game between YPA and Lapuan Virkia Lapua finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward YPA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
YPA
15%
Draws
36%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: YPA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and YPA come out ahead of Lapuan Virkia Lapua on wins alone.
  • Model gives YPA a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group C 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors YPA here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
YPA Clean Sheet 68%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric YPA Lapuan Virkia Lapua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 26
Goals Scored 1.8 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.63 5.07
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
YPA vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
3:0
Jun 12, 2016 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs YPA
1:4
Sep 12, 2009 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs YPA
0:2
May 28, 2009 Kakkonen Group C
YPA vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
5:1
Aug 5, 2006 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs YPA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

YPA Compare

Top Goalscorer Paavilainen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Lapuan Virkia Lapua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

YPA 95 / 100
Lapuan Virkia Lapua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
YPA Lapuan Virkia Lapua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick YPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lapuan Virkia Lapua let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

YPA found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Lapuan Virkia Lapua has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

YPA VS Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 5.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

YPA

(Home)
01 Oct
Santa Claus
2 : 4
YPA
25 Sept
YPA
1 : 1
PPT
18 Sept
Narpes Kraft
3 : 1
YPA
11 Sept
YPA
0 : 2
GBK Kokkola
04 Sept
JS Hercules
4 : 3
YPA
Page 1 of 6

Lapuan Virkia Lapua

(Away)
29 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 4
JS Hercules
11 Apr
LappBK
1 : 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
13 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
2 : 5
GBK Kokkola
16 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 7
AC Oulu
01 Oct
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 9
AC Kajaani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OPS 22 15 3 4 70:31 48
2 MuSa 22 15 3 4 51:18 48
3 AC Kajaani 22 14 3 5 84:24 45
4 GBK Kokkola 22 12 4 6 60:25 40
5 TP-47 22 11 4 7 37:34 37
6 YPA 22 10 3 9 40:36 33
7 Narpes Kraft 22 9 4 9 39:39 31
8 JS Hercules 22 8 4 10 39:41 28
9 VIFK 22 8 3 11 37:35 27
10 PPT 22 7 4 11 40:43 25
11 Santa Claus 22 2 2 18 24:102 8
12 Lapuan Virkia Lapua 22 2 1 19 23:116 7
Promotion - Kakkonen Group A 2016 (Play Offs)