Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa FGF 2024 Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa

EC Juventude 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ypiranga FC play EC Juventude 2 in the Copa FGF 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ypiranga FC averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. EC Juventude 2 averaged 1.05 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Ypiranga FC won 2, EC Juventude 2 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 15, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Ypiranga FC and 1.19 for EC Juventude 2. This points to a Ypiranga FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Ypiranga FC

25%

Draws

29%

EC Juventude 2

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Ypiranga FC picked up more points recently compared to EC Juventude 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 20%

EC Juventude 2 Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ypiranga FC	EC Juventude 2
Matches Played	36	21
Wins	15	7
Draws	9	3
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	1.47	1.05
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2024 Copa FGF

Ypiranga FC vs EC Juventude 2

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Nov 11, 2024 Copa FGF

EC Juventude 2 vs Ypiranga FC

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Oct 12, 2024 Copa FGF

EC Juventude 2 vs Ypiranga FC

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Felipe

1 Goals

Assists Leader Luquinhas

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

EC Juventude 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Davi Goes

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 45 / 100

EC Juventude 2 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ypiranga FC EC Juventude 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ypiranga FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21%

2.63

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ypiranga FC attacking → ← attacking EC Juventude 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

EC Juventude 2 let in goals in 71% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

EC Juventude 2 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 24

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00