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Ypiranga FC vs Maringa FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ypiranga FC play Maringa FC in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ypiranga FC averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Maringa FC averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Ypiranga FC won 0, Maringa FC won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Ypiranga FC and 1.63 for Maringa FC. This points to a Maringa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ypiranga FC
27%
Draws
43%
Maringa FC
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC picked up more points recently compared to Maringa FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 14%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ypiranga FC Maringa FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Maringa FC
1:4
Jul 6, 2025 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Maringa FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ypiranga FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Estevao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Maringa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelvi Gomes
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ypiranga FC 30 / 100
Maringa FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ypiranga FC Maringa FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maringa FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ypiranga FC attacking → ← attacking Maringa FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ypiranga FC scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Maringa FC let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ypiranga FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Maringa FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 47
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brusque1373320:1424
2Guarani1365223:1123
3Internacional de Limeira1364316:1422
4Santa Cruz1363413:921
5SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
6Paysandu PA1362519:1720
7Floresta EC1455415:1420
8Botafogo PB1361617:1519
9Maringa FC1354426:2419
10Ituano1354415:1319
11Ferroviaria1354412:1119
12Ypiranga FC1353516:1718
13Amazonas1352613:1817
14Volta Redonda1352610:1517
15Figueirense1344512:1816
16Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1336416:1415
17Maranhao133559:1314
18Itabaiana1334611:1713
19Confianca133288:1211
20Anapolis132389:179