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Yuen Long vs Happy Valley

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yuen Long in this Sapling Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Yuen Long
30%
Draws
31%
Happy Valley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yuen Long

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Happy Valley have won more games recently than Yuen Long.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Yuen Long taking it.
  • Happy Valley arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Yuen Long, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 20%
Happy Valley Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yuen Long Happy Valley
Matches Played 21 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.95 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Happy Valley
4:3
Jan 19, 2020 Premier League
Happy Valley vs Yuen Long
1:1
Dec 21, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Happy Valley
0:0
Nov 6, 2019 Sapling Cup
Happy Valley vs Yuen Long
0:3
Mar 15, 2014 Premier League
Happy Valley vs Yuen Long
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yuen Long 40 / 100
Happy Valley 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yuen Long Happy Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yuen Long Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Happy Valley has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Yuen Long's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Yuen Long stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Happy Valley
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Yuen Long

(Home)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
Page 1 of 5

Happy Valley

(Away)
30 May
Hong Kong Rangers
3 : 3
Happy Valley
22 May
Happy Valley
7 : 2
Resources Capital
16 May
Southern District
2 : 1
Happy Valley
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 1
Happy Valley
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Eastern AA 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
3 Pegasus 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Lee Man Warriors 8 2 1 5 17:22 7
5 Hong Kong Rangers 8 1 1 6 10:27 4
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
2 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 8 4 1 3 18:12 13
3 Yuen Long 8 3 3 2 19:17 12
4 Happy Valley 8 2 2 4 13:17 8
5 Tai Po 8 1 3 4 18:25 6
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)