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Yuen Long vs Tai Po

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Yuen Long in this Sapling Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Yuen Long
20%
Draws
44%
Tai Po
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tai Po

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Tai Po have won more games recently than Yuen Long.
  • Win probability leans Yuen Long's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Tai Po arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Yuen Long, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 15%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Yuen Long Tai Po
Matches Played 21 40
Wins 4 23
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.95 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2020 Premier League
Tai Po vs Yuen Long
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Sapling Cup
Tai Po vs Yuen Long
2:2
Dec 29, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Tai Po
6:3
Nov 2, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Tai Po
1:3
Feb 10, 2019 Sapling Cup
Yuen Long vs Tai Po
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Yuen Long 66 / 100
Tai Po 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Yuen Long Tai Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yuen Long Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 40 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Yuen Long found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (21 games).

Recent resilience: Yuen Long stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tai Po
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Yuen Long

(Home)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
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Tai Po

(Away)
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
12 Sept
Tai Po
1 : 2
Hong Kong FC
05 Sept
Tai Po
3 : 2
Hong Kong Rangers
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
23 Aug
North District
2 : 0
Tai Po
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yuen Long 4 3 0 1 10:7 9
2 King Fung Football Club 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
3 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
4 Tai Po 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Eastern AA 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
2 Pegasus 4 3 0 1 10:7 9
3 Southern District 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Kitchee 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
5 Hoi King 4 0 0 4 4:18 0
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)