Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zabkovia Zabki vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

82' Event
Stypulkowski S.

AI Match Summary

Jagiellonia II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zabkovia Zabki
33%
Draws
27%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zabkovia Zabki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Jagiellonia II have won more games recently than Zabkovia Zabki.
  • Win probability leans Zabkovia Zabki's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zabkovia Zabki Clean Sheet 16%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zabkovia Zabki Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Zabkovia Zabki vs Jagiellonia II
0:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Zabkovia Zabki
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zabkovia Zabki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Stypulkowski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zabkovia Zabki 39 / 100
Jagiellonia II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zabkovia Zabki Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Zabkovia Zabki scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Jagiellonia II conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Zabkovia Zabki stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zabkovia Zabki VS Jagiellonia II
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zabkovia Zabki

(Home)
24 Jul
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
30 May
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 1
Zabkovia Zabki
23 May
Zabkovia Zabki
2 : 2
GKS Wikielec
16 May
Znicz Biala Piska
2 : 6
Zabkovia Zabki
13 May
Zabkovia Zabki
0 : 0
Bron Radom
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Jagiellonia II

(Away)
25 Jul
Biala Podlaska
3 : 4
Jagiellonia II
11 Jul
KTS Weszlo
2 : 2
Jagiellonia II
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Jagiellonia II
17 May
Jagiellonia II
0 : 1
Troszyn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)