Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
De Los Rios S.
27' Event
Montes J.
Assist: Avila J.
37' Event
Figueroa B.
Assist: del Campo R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Zacatecas Mineros
28%
Draws
50%
Club Atletico Morelia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Club Atletico Morelia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Club Atletico Morelia have won more games recently than Zacatecas Mineros.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Club Atletico Morelia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 20%
Club Atletico Morelia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatecas Mineros Club Atletico Morelia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Zacatecas Mineros
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Club Atletico Morelia vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Club Atletico Morelia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Montes J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Club Atletico Morelia Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatecas Mineros 24 / 100
Club Atletico Morelia 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatecas Mineros Club Atletico Morelia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zacatecas Mineros scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Club Atletico Morelia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Club Atletico Morelia has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zacatecas Mineros VS Club Atletico Morelia
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tepatitlan de Morelos1475221:1026
2Cancun1474324:1725
3Club Atletico Morelia1472518:1223
4Atletico La Paz1457222:1222
5Jaiba Brava1463515:1521
6Zacatecas Mineros1463519:2021
7Tapatio1462628:2420
8Atlante1455421:1720
9Irapuato1462627:2420
10Tlaxcala1455416:1720
11Venados FC1444625:2516
12Alebrijes de Oaxaca1444620:2916
13Dorados de Sinaloa1434717:2813
14Correcaminos1433814:2712
15Leones Negros1425715:2511