Sport Picks
Zacatecas Mineros vs Leones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas 
Match Events
7'
7'
Escalante J.
45'
45'
Razo L.
Assist: Carreon A.
65'
65'
Sub
Brigido J. In: Perez J.
Out: Brigido J.
AI Match Summary
Leones Negros in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leones Negros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leones Negros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Leones Negros at 1.7 per game, Zacatecas Mineros at 1.6.
- 76% — that's where the model lands on Leones Negros taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 11%
Leones Negros Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zacatecas Mineros | Leones Negros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Leones Negros
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:3
Oct 12, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Leones Negros
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Leones Negros
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Leones Negros vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Leones Negros Compare
Top Goalscorer Razo L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zacatecas Mineros 18 / 100
Leones Negros 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zacatecas Mineros Leones Negros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leones Negros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leones Negros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Zacatecas Mineros scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Zacatecas Mineros has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Zacatecas Mineros VS Leones Negros
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zacatecas Mineros
(Home) 30 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 2 Leones Negros
17 Oct
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2 Cancun
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 2 Leones Negros
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2 Cancun
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0 Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 3
Leones Negros
(Away) 08 Nov
Leones Negros
2 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
06 Nov
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 0 Leones Negros
01 Nov
Leones Negros
3 : 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos
25 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 2 Leones Negros
18 Oct
Leones Negros
1 : 2 Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 0 Leones Negros
25 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 2 Leones Negros
10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1 Leones Negros
26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
20 Sept
Club Atletico Morelia
2 : 0 Leones Negros
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36:18 | 30 |
| 2 | Leones Negros | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26:19 | 26 |
| 4 | Piratas | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Cancun | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:18 | 25 |
| 6 | Venados FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31:25 | 25 |
| 7 | Alacranes de Durango | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 29:27 | 22 |
| 9 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 15:25 | 22 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25:28 | 18 |
| 12 | Correcaminos | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 23:32 | 16 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 15 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11:44 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
