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Zacatepec vs Montaneses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zacatepec host Montaneses in the Primera Premier. This one's hard to separate. Montaneses have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Zacatepec have conceded 1 and scored 1.28. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.56 - 1.50) back Zacatepec to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zacatepec
15%
Draws
51%
Montaneses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montaneses

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Zacatepec have won more games recently than Montaneses.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 16%
Montaneses Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatepec Montaneses
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 13 3
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatepec 31 / 100
Montaneses 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatepec Montaneses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zacatepec found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Montaneses let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Montaneses has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Zacatepec went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zacatepec VS Montaneses
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatepec

(Home)
06 Nov
Tapachula
2 : 4
Zacatepec
31 Oct
Zacatepec
1 : 5
Racing de Veracruz
24 Oct
Pioneros
0 : 0
Zacatepec
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
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Montaneses

(Away)
08 Nov
Montaneses
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
01 Nov
Purepechas
2 : 1
Montaneses
25 Oct
Montaneses
0 : 3
Lobos ULMX
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Montaneses
11 Oct
Montaneses
2 : 1
Tapachula
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
7 Cordobes FC 9 3 1 5 8:13 9
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 9 3 3 3 12:16 12
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)