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Zacatepec vs Purepechas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Zacatepec Logo

Zacatepec

1 - 0
FT
Purepechas Logo

Purepechas

Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Zacatepec and Purepechas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zacatepec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zacatepec
20%
Draws
51%
Purepechas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Purepechas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Purepechas haven't matched Zacatepec's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Purepechas taking it.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 20%
Purepechas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatepec Purepechas
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 11 2
Draws 12 2
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.28 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Premier
Zacatepec vs Purepechas
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatepec 20 / 100
Purepechas 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatepec Purepechas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Purepechas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Purepechas has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Zacatepec found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Zacatepec remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zacatepec VS Purepechas
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatepec

(Home)
06 Nov
Tapachula
2 : 4
Zacatepec
31 Oct
Zacatepec
1 : 5
Racing de Veracruz
24 Oct
Pioneros
0 : 0
Zacatepec
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
03 Oct
Zacatepec
2 : 3
Reboceros de La Piedad
Page 1 of 6

Purepechas

(Away)
08 Nov
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 1
Purepechas
01 Nov
Purepechas
2 : 1
Montaneses
24 Oct
Tapachula
1 : 0
Purepechas
11 Oct
Purepechas
2 : 0
Lobos ULMX
04 Oct
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Purepechas
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
7 Cordobes FC 9 3 1 5 8:13 9
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 9 3 3 3 12:16 12
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)