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Zacatepec vs Purepechas

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier Estadio Mariano Matamoros, Xochitepec
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zacatepec host Purepechas in the Primera Premier. This has Zacatepec written all over it on paper. Zacatepec have averaged 1.2 scored and 0.83 conceded recently, against Purepechas's 0.5 scored and 2 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 0.54) point toward Zacatepec. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zacatepec
25%
Draws
35%
Purepechas
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zacatepec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Purepechas haven't matched Zacatepec's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Zacatepec taking it.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Zacatepec Clean Sheet 20%
Purepechas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zacatepec Purepechas
Matches Played 30 2
Wins 12 0
Draws 12 1
Losses 6 1
Goals Scored 1.2 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zacatepec 40 / 100
Purepechas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zacatepec Purepechas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zacatepec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Purepechas has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Zacatepec found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Zacatepec remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Purepechas has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zacatepec VS Purepechas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.33
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zacatepec

(Home)
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
29 Aug
Tigres de Alica
3 : 1
Zacatepec
26 Apr
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Zacatepec
22 Apr
Zacatepec
2 : 2
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6

Purepechas

(Away)
05 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
3 : 0
Purepechas
30 Aug
Purepechas
1 : 1
Cordobes FC

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 3 3 0 0 7:2 10
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
3 Tigres de Alica 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
4 Zacatepec 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
5 Los Cabos United 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
6 Tritones Vallarta 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
7 Purepechas 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
8 Cordobes FC 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
9 Lobos ULMX 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 3 3 0 0 12:2 11
2 Celaya 3 2 1 0 6:1 8
3 Deportiva Venados 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Pioneros 2 1 0 1 4:3 4
5 Jaguares De Chiapas 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
6 Montaneses 3 1 1 1 4:6 3
7 Tapachula 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
8 Chapulineros 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)