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Zaglebie vs Termalica Bruk-Bet

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Nalepa M.
12'
Hilbrycht D.
15'
Zapolnik K.

AI Match Summary

Termalica Bruk-Bet in this Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Termalica Bruk-Bet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zaglebie
39%
Draws
30%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Termalica Bruk-Bet have won more games recently than Zaglebie.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zaglebie Clean Sheet 20%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaglebie Termalica Bruk-Bet
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.38 3.25
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Zaglebie
1:1
Mar 11, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Zaglebie
0:2
Sep 17, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
2:1
Dec 2, 2017 Ekstraklasa
Zaglebie vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zaglebie Compare

Top Goalscorer Regula M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Top Goalscorer Hilbrycht D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durdov I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaglebie 32 / 100
Termalica Bruk-Bet 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaglebie Termalica Bruk-Bet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termalica Bruk-Bet let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Zaglebie's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zaglebie has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zaglebie VS Termalica Bruk-Bet
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534