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Zagorets vs Vereya 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2016/2017 game between Zagorets and Vereya 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zagorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Zagorets
15%
Draws
8%
Vereya 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zagorets come out ahead of Vereya 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zagorets a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zagorets have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 16%
Vereya 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zagorets Vereya 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.58 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2018 Third League - South-East
Vereya 2 vs Zagorets
0:4
Nov 11, 2017 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Vereya 2
2:1
Mar 18, 2017 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Vereya 2
1:0
Aug 31, 2016 Third League - South-East
Vereya 2 vs Zagorets
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zagorets 84 / 100
Vereya 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zagorets Vereya 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zagorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vereya 2 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Zagorets's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zagorets remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zagorets VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zagorets

(Home)
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0
Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3
Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0
Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0
Levski Karlovo
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3
Zagorets
Page 1 of 7

Vereya 2

(Away)
02 Jun
Vereya 2
3 : 4
Sokol Markovo
26 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1
Vereya 2
19 May
Vereya 2
0 : 4
Zagorets
12 May
Karnobat
2 : 1
Vereya 2
09 May
Vereya 2
1 : 1
Radnevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorets 34 26 6 2 77:13 84
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 34 26 0 8 95:25 78
3 Karnobat 34 23 4 7 79:35 73
4 Rozova Dolina 34 20 4 10 69:38 64
5 Atletik Kuklen 34 15 8 11 58:44 53
6 Borislav Parvomay 34 14 8 12 60:48 50
7 Evrokolezh 34 14 4 16 64:65 46
8 Uragan Boyadzhik 34 13 6 15 55:66 45
9 Asenovets 34 13 5 16 50:56 44
10 Dimitrovgrad 34 12 7 15 35:39 43
11 Vereya 2 34 12 5 17 66:76 41
12 Svilengrad 1921 34 11 8 15 41:52 41
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 12 5 17 51:71 41
14 Rakovski 2011 34 11 7 16 52:81 40
15 Radnevo 34 11 6 17 39:58 39
16 Arda 34 11 6 17 49:69 39
17 Lyubimets 2007 34 9 6 19 38:79 33
18 Elhovo 34 4 3 27 27:90 15
Promotion - Vtora liga 2017/2018 (Main)