Sport Picks

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Zakho vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zakho host Newroz in the Stars League. This one's hard to separate. Zakho have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.42 conceded recently, against Newroz's 1.48 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Zakho have won 2 to Newroz's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 20, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.69) point toward Newroz. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Zakho
35%
Draws
45%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Newroz have won more games recently than Zakho.
  • Model gives Newroz a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zakho Clean Sheet 13%
Newroz Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zakho Newroz
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.42 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Zakho
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Newroz
4:0
Jul 8, 2025 Iraq Cup
Zakho vs Newroz
1:0
May 24, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Zakho
0:0
Sep 26, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Newroz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zakho 10 / 100
Newroz 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zakho Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zakho's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Zakho has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newroz has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zakho VS Newroz
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zakho

(Home)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
Page 1 of 7

Newroz

(Away)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Karma 8 6 2 0 14:5 20
2 Al Zawraa 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
3 Erbil 8 5 2 1 12:3 17
4 Newroz 8 4 3 1 13:4 15
5 Al Shorta 8 4 3 1 9:4 15
6 Al Naft 8 4 3 1 9:5 15
7 Al Golan 8 2 4 2 8:9 10
8 Duhok 8 1 6 1 11:11 9
9 Diyala 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
10 Al Minaa 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Zakho 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 8 1 5 2 11:12 8
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 8 1 5 2 4:5 8
14 Al Mosul 8 2 2 4 9:12 8
15 Al Karkh 8 2 1 5 10:14 7
16 Al Kahraba 8 1 4 3 6:10 7
17 Al Talaba 8 1 4 3 9:14 7
18 Naft Missan 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
19 Al Gharraf 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
20 Karbala 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)