Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zamora vs Estudiantes Merida

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Agustín Tovar
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Acuna R.
Assist: Mosquera J.
13' Event
Quejada K.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Valladares I.
Assist: Flores A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE game between Zamora and Estudiantes Merida finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zamora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zamora
6%
Draws
4%
Estudiantes Merida
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zamora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estudiantes Merida come out ahead of Zamora on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Zamora taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Zamora Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamora Estudiantes Merida
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Estudiantes Merida
3:2
Jul 12, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Zamora
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Estudiantes Merida
2:1
Jan 16, 2025 Club Friendly
Estudiantes Merida vs Zamora
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Zamora vs Estudiantes Merida
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamora Compare

Top Goalscorer Valladares I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Acuna R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Estudiantes Merida Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamora 95 / 100
Estudiantes Merida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamora Estudiantes Merida

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes Merida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Zamora stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Estudiantes Merida has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Zamora scored in 67% of their last 24 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamora VS Estudiantes Merida
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264