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Zamudio vs Touring KE

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Martin M.
35' Event
Ortiz J.
48' Event
Pison I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Zamudio and Touring KE finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Touring KE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zamudio
20%
Draws
51%
Touring KE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Touring KE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Touring KE come out ahead of Zamudio on wins alone.
  • Touring KE are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Zamudio Clean Sheet 12%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zamudio Touring KE
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Zamudio vs Touring KE
2:3
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Touring KE vs Zamudio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zamudio Compare

Top Goalscorer Pison I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Touring KE Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ortiz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zamudio 27 / 100
Touring KE 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zamudio Touring KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touring KE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Zamudio found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Touring KE let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Zamudio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zamudio VS Touring KE
1.71 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zamudio

(Home)
09 May
UD Aretxabaleta
3 : 1
Zamudio
03 May
Zamudio
0 : 2
Zarautz KE
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1
Santurtzi
16 Apr
Real Sociedad C
3 : 1
Zamudio
12 Apr
Zamudio
7 : 0
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

Touring KE

(Away)
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
23 May
Leioa
2 : 3
Touring KE
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)