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Zapotlanejo vs UA Zacatecas Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026
Zapotlanejo Logo

Zapotlanejo

4 - 2
FT
UA Zacatecas Logo

UA Zacatecas

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
31' Event
59' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 game between Zapotlanejo and UA Zacatecas finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zapotlanejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Zapotlanejo
20%
Draws
33%
UA Zacatecas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zapotlanejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Zapotlanejo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zapotlanejo Clean Sheet 10%
UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zapotlanejo UA Zacatecas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.42 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Zapotlanejo vs UA Zacatecas
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Zapotlanejo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zapotlanejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

UA Zacatecas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sandoval J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chavez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zapotlanejo 29 / 100
UA Zacatecas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zapotlanejo UA Zacatecas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zapotlanejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Zapotlanejo scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

UA Zacatecas has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Zapotlanejo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zapotlanejo VS UA Zacatecas
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zapotlanejo

(Home)
01 Oct
Heroes de Zaci
0 : 1
Zapotlanejo
25 Sept
Zapotlanejo
1 : 0
FC Santiago
19 Sept
Correcaminos 2
1 : 1
Zapotlanejo
12 Sept
Zapotlanejo
4 : 1
Apodaca
06 Sept
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
4 : 0
Zapotlanejo
Page 1 of 7

UA Zacatecas

(Away)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Zapotlanejo
4 : 2
UA Zacatecas
18 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 0
Tecos
14 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alacranes de Durango 26 21 2 3 71:16 74
2 Tigres de Alica 26 17 3 6 46:25 56
3 Cimarrones de Sonora 26 15 7 4 46:19 54
4 Leones Negros 2 26 16 2 8 42:26 53
5 Tecos 26 14 4 8 49:34 49
6 Tritones Vallarta 26 15 1 10 32:27 46
7 Mineros de Fresnillo 26 11 4 11 40:41 39
8 Los Cabos United 26 11 3 12 37:40 37
9 Guerreros de Autlan 26 8 5 13 38:42 32
10 UA Zacatecas 26 8 4 14 32:49 29
11 Ensenada FC 26 8 2 16 30:55 28
12 Reboceros de La Piedad 26 7 1 18 39:66 23
13 Zapotlanejo 26 6 1 19 39:73 21
14 Colima FC 26 4 3 19 24:52 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apodaca 26 21 2 3 47:19 66
2 FC Santiago 26 14 7 5 43:21 51
3 Zacatepec 26 12 8 6 29:15 45
4 Halcones de Zapopan 26 11 6 9 44:27 44
5 Calor De San Pedro 26 12 7 7 37:26 44
6 Gavilanes de Matamoros 26 12 5 9 31:22 44
7 Lobos ULMX 26 11 6 9 33:28 40
8 Correcaminos 2 26 9 7 10 27:25 36
9 Chilpancingo 26 9 8 9 33:41 35
10 Cordobes FC 26 8 6 12 29:30 30
11 Zitacuaro 26 6 10 10 22:31 28
12 CS Canamy 26 5 8 13 33:53 26
13 Ciervos 26 4 4 18 20:50 18
14 Atletico Hidalgo 26 4 4 18 22:62 16
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 24 21 3 0 55:9 71
2 Deportiva Venados 24 15 4 5 61:25 52
3 Tapachula 24 13 0 11 51:35 44
4 Celaya 24 12 4 8 42:32 43
5 Inter Playa Del Carmen 24 13 4 7 35:28 42
6 Montaneses 24 12 2 10 35:28 38
7 Pioneros 24 10 3 11 35:35 35
8 Jaguares De Chiapas 24 9 4 11 33:32 34
9 Heroes de Zaci 24 10 2 12 33:46 34
10 Chapulineros 24 5 8 11 21:33 23
11 Canoneros FC 24 7 1 16 25:49 22
12 Neza FC 24 5 2 17 25:73 19
13 Dragones Toluca 24 4 3 17 21:47 17
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)