Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zaqatala PFK vs Difai Agsu

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2025/2026
Zaqatala PFK Logo

Zaqatala PFK

1 - 0
FT
Difai Agsu Logo

Difai Agsu

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Sabanov R.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zaqatala PFK in this I Liqa 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaqatala PFK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Zaqatala PFK
30%
Draws
29%
Difai Agsu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zaqatala PFK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Zaqatala PFK have won more games recently than Difai Agsu.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Zaqatala PFK taking it.
  • Regular I Liqa 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zaqatala PFK Clean Sheet 16%
Difai Agsu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zaqatala PFK Difai Agsu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Difai Agsu
1:0
Feb 19, 2026 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Difai Agsu
2:1
Nov 6, 2025 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Zaqatala PFK
1:2
Apr 17, 2025 I Liqa
Difai Agsu vs Zaqatala PFK
1:0
Feb 14, 2025 I Liqa
Zaqatala PFK vs Difai Agsu
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zaqatala PFK 48 / 100
Difai Agsu 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zaqatala PFK Difai Agsu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zaqatala PFK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difai Agsu let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Zaqatala PFK scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zaqatala PFK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zaqatala PFK VS Difai Agsu
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zaqatala PFK

(Home)
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
10 Sept
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Baku Sporting
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Baku Sporting
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
Page 1 of 6

Difai Agsu

(Away)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
14 May
Shimal
0 : 1
Difai Agsu
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
30 Apr
Baku Sporting
1 : 1
Difai Agsu
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Gancabasar 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2025/2026 (Relegation)