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Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Demianenko A.
33' Event
Udin Y.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Udin Y.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Zarechnoye and Sparta-KT finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarechnoye.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Zarechnoye
20%
Draws
10%
Sparta-KT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zarechnoye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Zarechnoye carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zarechnoye's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 20%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarechnoye Sparta-KT
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.69 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
6:1
May 16, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
3:3
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarechnoye Compare

Top Goalscorer Demianenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muratov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sparta-KT Compare

Top Goalscorer Peresunko B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarechnoye 85 / 100
Sparta-KT 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarechnoye Sparta-KT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarechnoye Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zarechnoye scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Sparta-KT let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Zarechnoye remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zarechnoye VS Sparta-KT
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarechnoye

(Home)
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
Zarechnoye
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Sparta-KT

(Away)
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
14 Jun
Sparta-KT
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
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