Sport Picks
Zarzis vs Etoile Sahel
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium, Zarzis 
Match Events
10'
10'
Boutmene Z.
16'
16'
44'
44'
Ghouma F.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between Zarzis and Etoile Sahel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zarzis.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile Sahel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Etoile Sahel come out ahead of Zarzis on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zarzis | Etoile Sahel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Etoile Sahel
3:1
Nov 5, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Zarzis
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Zarzis
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Etoile Sahel
2:3
Mar 16, 2022 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Etoile Sahel
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zarzis Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghouma F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ben Dhiaf A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Etoile Sahel Compare
Top Goalscorer Boutmene Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zarzis 41 / 100
Etoile Sahel 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zarzis Etoile Sahel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zarzis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etoile Sahel has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Etoile Sahel lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Zarzis scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Zarzis VS Etoile Sahel
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zarzis
(Home) 20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0 Zarzis
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2 Monastir
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0 Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1 Diambars de Saly
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Zarzis
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2 Monastir
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1 Diambars de Saly
23 Aug
Zarzis
1 : 0 Olympique Beja
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
20 May
Zarzis
2 : 0 CA Bizertin
Page 1 of 4
Etoile Sahel
(Away) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
04 May
Zarzis
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
29 Apr
Metlaoui
2 : 0 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
