Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zawisza vs Chojniczanka

Poland Poland

Polish Cup 2025/2026 Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium, Bydgoszcz
Wed, Mar 4, 2026
2 - 1
04:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kozlowski F.
Assist: Cywinski M.
35'
Szczepanek B.
57'
Sub
Kaminski D. In: Eizenchart B.
Out: Kaminski D.

AI Match Summary

Zawisza in this Polish Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zawisza
35%
Draws
36%
Chojniczanka
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chojniczanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Zawisza have won more games recently than Chojniczanka.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Zawisza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zawisza, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 20%
Chojniczanka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Chojniczanka
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Polish Cup
Zawisza vs Chojniczanka
2:1
Feb 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Chojniczanka vs Zawisza
2:0
Apr 30, 2016 Division 1
Zawisza vs Chojniczanka
1:0
Feb 27, 2016 Club Friendly
Zawisza vs Chojniczanka
1:1
Oct 3, 2015 Division 1
Chojniczanka vs Zawisza
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlowski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Chojniczanka Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabala V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 32 / 100
Chojniczanka 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Chojniczanka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zawisza scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Zawisza has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Chojniczanka has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Zawisza VS Chojniczanka
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zawisza

(Home)
18 Sept
Zawisza
0 : 0
Leczna
12 Sept
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 1
Zawisza
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
29 Aug
Zawisza
4 : 1
Legia II
22 Aug
Avia Swidnik
1 : 4
Zawisza
Page 1 of 6

Chojniczanka

(Away)
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
12 Sept
Swit Szczecin
1 : 5
Chojniczanka
05 Sept
Chojniczanka
2 : 2
R. Rzeszow
29 Aug
Kleczew
1 : 1
Chojniczanka
21 Aug
Chojniczanka
2 : 0
Stal Stalowa Wola
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zawisza -
TBD -
TBD -
Tychy -
GKS Wikielec -
TBD -
Podbeskidzie 2
R. Rzeszow 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg -
TBD -
Hutnik Krakow 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0
Bytom Odrzanski -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla -
Beskid Andrychow -
TBD -
Chojniczanka 2
Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1
Legnica II -
TBD -
Swit Szczecin 2
LKS Lodz II 1
Malapanew Ozimek -
TBD -
TBD -
Pruszkow -
S. Rzeszow -
TBD -
TBD -
Korona Kielce -
LKS Lomza -
TBD -
TBD -
Odra Opole -
Korona Kielce II -
TBD -
TBD -
Piast Gliwice -
Gryf Slupsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Polonia Warszawa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec -
TBD -
TBD -
Puszcza -
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 3
Wisla Pulawy 0
TBD -
Lechia Gdansk -
Arka Gdynia -
TBD -
TBD -
Motor Lublin -
Legia II -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Avia Swidnik -
TBD -
TBD -
Ruch Chorzow -
Swinoujscie -
TBD -
KKS Kalisz 0
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II -
TBD -
Stal Stalowa Wola 3
Skra Czestochowa 1
Warta Poznan 1
Olimpia Elblag 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Zaglebie II 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol -
TBD -
KS Wieczysta Krakow 0
Ol. Grudziadz 1
Tomaszow Mazowiecki -
TBD -
TBD -
Slask Wroclaw -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leczna -
TBD -
TBD -
Cracovia -
LKS Lodz -
TBD -
TBD -
Chrobry Glogow -
GKS Katowice -
TBD -
TBD -
Wisla Plock -
Legnica -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Siedlce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogon Szczecin -
Termalica Bruk-Bet -
TBD -
TBD -
Widzew Lodz -
Radomiak Radom -
TBD -
TBD -
Zaglebie -
1/32-finals
Zawisza 2
Tychy 0
GKS Wikielec 2
Podbeskidzie 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 0
Hutnik Krakow 1
Bytom Odrzanski 0
Wisla 1
Beskid Andrychow 0
Chojniczanka 3
Legnica II 1
Swit Szczecin 3
Malapanew Ozimek 1
Pruszkow 2
S. Rzeszow 0
Korona Kielce 1
LKS Lomza 0
Odra Opole 2
Korona Kielce II 0
Piast Gliwice 1
Gryf Slupsk 1
Polonia Warszawa 0
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Stal Mielec 1
Puszcza 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 0
Lechia Gdansk 1
Arka Gdynia 1
Motor Lublin 0
Legia II 0
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 3
Ruch Chorzow 1
Swinoujscie 3
GKS Jastrzebie 2
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 3
Stal Stalowa Wola 1
Warta Poznan 0
Polonia Bytom 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 1
Ol. Grudziadz 3
Tomaszow Mazowiecki 1
Slask Wroclaw 2
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
Leczna 1
Cracovia 5
LKS Lodz 5
Chrobry Glogow 3
GKS Katowice 4
Wisla Plock 2
Legnica 2
Pogon Siedlce 0
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Legia -
TBD -
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0
Pogon Szczecin 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet 2
Widzew Lodz 3
Radomiak Radom 0
Zaglebie 2
1/16-finals
Zawisza 3
GKS Wikielec 0
Hutnik Krakow 0
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 3
Swit Szczecin 1
Pruszkow 0
Korona Kielce 3
Odra Opole 0
Piast Gliwice 2
Gryf Slupsk 1
Lech Poznan 2
Puszcza 1
Lechia Gdansk 3
Arka Gdynia 1
Gornik Zabrze 2
Avia Swidnik 3
Swinoujscie 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj II 0
Polonia Bytom 7
Ol. Grudziadz 0
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Cracovia 0
LKS Lodz 1
GKS Katowice 2
Legnica 2
Jagiellonia 3
Legia 1
Pogon Szczecin 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Zaglebie 0
1/8-finals
Zawisza 4
Wisla 1
Chojniczanka 2
Korona Kielce 1
Piast Gliwice 0
Lech Poznan 2
Lechia Gdansk 1
Gornik Zabrze 3
Avia Swidnik 4
Polonia Bytom 2
Slask Wroclaw 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 3
Jagiellonia 1
Pogon Szczecin 0
Widzew Lodz 1
Quarter-finals
Zawisza 2
Chojniczanka 1
Lech Poznan 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Avia Swidnik 1
Rakow Czestochowa 2
GKS Katowice 2
Widzew Lodz 1
Semi-finals
Zawisza 0
Gornik Zabrze 1
Rakow Czestochowa 5
GKS Katowice 4
Final
Gornik Zabrze 2
Rakow Czestochowa 0