Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium

Lipno Steszew

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zawisza play Lipno Steszew in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zawisza averaged 1.92 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Lipno Steszew averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Zawisza won 1, Lipno Steszew won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 22, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Zawisza and 1.00 for Lipno Steszew. This points to a Zawisza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Zawisza

15%

Draws

34%

Lipno Steszew

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Zawisza picked up more points recently compared to Lipno Steszew.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Zawisza Clean Sheet 23%

Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zawisza	Lipno Steszew
Matches Played	26	28
Wins	19	14
Draws	2	5
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.92	1.36
Goals Conceded	0.73	1.39
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Zawisza vs Lipno Steszew

Possession: 45% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Lipno Steszew vs Zawisza

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlowski F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Lipno Steszew Compare

Top Goalscorer Borkowski A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 51 / 100

Lipno Steszew 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zawisza Lipno Steszew

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zawisza or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zawisza attacking → ← attacking Lipno Steszew

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza scored in 88% of their last 26 games.

Lipno Steszew let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Zawisza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Lipno Steszew lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 47

1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15