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Zeledon vs Saprissa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Pérez Zeledón, San Isidro de El General
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Waston K.
6' Event
Porras K.
19'
Pastrana E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Zeledon and Saprissa finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Zeledon
17%
Draws
70%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saprissa come out ahead of Zeledon on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Saprissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Saprissa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 10%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeledon Saprissa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.71 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.14 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
5:1
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
4:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Saprissa
3:3
Sep 23, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
3:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Saprissa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zeledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Porras K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeledon 14 / 100
Saprissa 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeledon Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Zeledon scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Saprissa has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Zeledon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zeledon VS Saprissa
0.71 Goals Scored 2.88
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zeledon

(Home)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
23 Apr
Zeledon
0 : 1
Herediano
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
12 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 3
Puntarenas FC
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Saprissa

(Away)
25 Jul
Saprissa
5 : 1
Zeledon
18 Jul
Herediano
1 : 0
Saprissa
17 May
Herediano
2 : 0
Saprissa
14 May
Saprissa
2 : 1
Herediano
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)