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Zeledon vs Saprissa

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Pérez Zeledón, San Isidro de El General
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Waston K.
6' Event
Porras K.
19'
Pastrana E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Zeledon and Saprissa finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Zeledon
20%
Draws
51%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saprissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saprissa come out ahead of Zeledon on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Saprissa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Saprissa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 16%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeledon Saprissa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 18
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.03 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
5:1
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
4:0
Jan 29, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Saprissa
3:3
Sep 23, 2025 Primera Division
Saprissa vs Zeledon
3:0
Jul 27, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Saprissa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zeledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Porras K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeledon 23 / 100
Saprissa 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeledon Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saprissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Zeledon scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Saprissa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Zeledon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zeledon VS Saprissa
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zeledon

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
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Saprissa

(Away)
20 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 0
Herediano
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)