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Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Mladost Backi Jarak

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2018/2019 Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
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AI Match Summary

Zeleznicar Pancevo play Mladost Backi Jarak in the Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zeleznicar Pancevo averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Mladost Backi Jarak averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Zeleznicar Pancevo won 1, Mladost Backi Jarak won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2019 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Zeleznicar Pancevo and 1.75 for Mladost Backi Jarak. This points to a Zeleznicar Pancevo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Zeleznicar Pancevo
28%
Draws
34%
Mladost Backi Jarak
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zeleznicar Pancevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zeleznicar Pancevo picked up more points recently compared to Mladost Backi Jarak.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Zeleznicar Pancevo Clean Sheet 12%
Mladost Backi Jarak Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeleznicar Pancevo Mladost Backi Jarak
Matches Played 36 38
Wins 13 13
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2019 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Mladost Backi Jarak
1:3
Oct 6, 2018 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
2:0
Apr 22, 2018 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Mladost Backi Jarak
2:1
Sep 30, 2017 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeleznicar Pancevo 37 / 100
Mladost Backi Jarak 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeleznicar Pancevo Mladost Backi Jarak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zeleznicar Pancevo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zeleznicar Pancevo attacking → ← attacking Mladost Backi Jarak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeleznicar Pancevo scored in 75% of their last 36 games.

Mladost Backi Jarak let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Zeleznicar Pancevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mladost Backi Jarak lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 49
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75