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Stadium Background

Zenit St Petersburg vs Gimnasia L.P.

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zenit St Petersburg play Gimnasia L.P. in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zenit St Petersburg averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. Gimnasia L.P. averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Zenit St Petersburg won 0, Gimnasia L.P. won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Zenit St Petersburg and 0.81 for Gimnasia L.P.. This points to a Zenit St Petersburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zenit St Petersburg
15%
Draws
36%
Gimnasia L.P.
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Zenit St Petersburg picked up more points recently compared to Gimnasia L.P..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 26%
Gimnasia L.P. Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Gimnasia L.P.
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 20 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.78 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Gimnasia L.P.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sobolev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gimnasia L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Auzmendi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 49 / 100
Gimnasia L.P. 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Gimnasia L.P.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zenit St Petersburg or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zenit St Petersburg attacking → ← attacking Gimnasia L.P.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit St Petersburg scored in 89% of their last 27 games.

Gimnasia L.P. let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Zenit St Petersburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gimnasia L.P. lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 54
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50