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Stadium Background

Zenit St Petersburg vs Neftchi Fargona

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
da Silva F.
35' Event
Glushenkov M.
37' Event
Ismoilov A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Zenit St Petersburg and Neftchi Fargona finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zenit St Petersburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zenit St Petersburg
6%
Draws
4%
Neftchi Fargona
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zenit St Petersburg come out ahead of Neftchi Fargona on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Zenit St Petersburg taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 20%
Neftchi Fargona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Neftchi Fargona
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 21 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Zenit St Petersburg vs Neftchi Fargona
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glushenkov M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Neftchi Fargona Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismoilov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 85 / 100
Neftchi Fargona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Neftchi Fargona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit St Petersburg scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Zenit St Petersburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Neftchi Fargona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS Neftchi Fargona
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg

(Home)
25 Jul
Akron Togliatti
0 : 5
Zenit St Petersburg
18 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
13 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
12 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 1
Crvena zvezda
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
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Neftchi Fargona

(Away)
21 Jul
Sogdiana
1 : 5
Neftchi Fargona
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Buxoro
08 Jul
Zenit St Petersburg
4 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
03 May
OKMK
0 : 0
Neftchi Fargona
29 Apr
Neftchi Fargona
4 : 0
Kokand 1912
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